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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Varberg
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Norrkoping
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
58%
32%
Both score Ø 42%
37%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varberg 12. · Norrkoping 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 20 13 5 2 +22 44
2 Hammarby 19 12 3 4 +26 39
3 Djurgarden 19 11 5 3 +25 38
4 AIK 19 10 5 4 +6 35
5 Malmo FF 19 10 4 5 +10 34
6 Goteborg 19 9 3 7 +7 30
7 Kalmar 19 9 3 7 +5 30
8 Mjallby 19 7 7 5 +2 28
9 Sirius 19 7 4 8 -6 25
10 Elfsborg 19 5 9 5 +7 24
11 Norrkoping 19 5 5 9 -5 20
12 Varberg 19 5 5 9 -16 20
13 Varnamo 20 4 7 9 -13 19
14 Degerfors 20 4 3 13 -23 15
15 Helsingborg 19 3 5 11 -15 14
16 Sundsvall 20 3 1 16 -32 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Norrkoping
11′
J. Levi 0–1
J. Ortmark
Robin Tranberg 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
A. Boman 🔁
↦ O. Alfonsi
60′
F. Bohman 🔁
↦ A. Liljenbäck
60′
70′
🔁 A. Guðjohnsen
↦ D. Salihovic
D. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ G. Mensah
75′
D. Kunst 🔁
↦ R. Tranberg
75′
75′
🔁 L. Shabani
↦ A. Traustason
Jon Birkfeldt 🟨
82′
86′
🟨 Jacob Ortmark
Tobias Carlsson 🟨
91′
95′
🔁 E. Binaku
↦ J. Levi
95′
🔁 C. Telo
↦ D. Eid
1–1 R. Simović
T. Carlsson
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Varberg

3-4-3
29 F. Andersson G
4 O. Stanisic D
20 T. Carlsson D
23 A. Liljenbäck M
2 J. Birkfeldt D
15 G. Mensah M
7 R. Tranberg M
8 L. Le Roux M
14 O. Alfonsi F
9 R. Simović F
16 A. Johansson F
Bench (7)
22 A. Boman
19 F. Bohman
35 D. Krasniqi
32 D. Kunst
11 Eliton Júnior
30 J. Sundström
31 V. Dryselius

Coach: J. Persson

Norrkoping

4-3-3
1 O. Jansson G
6 L. Wahlqvist D
4 M. Lund D
20 D. Eid D
24 A. Eriksson D
21 D. Salihovic M
18 A. Skúlason M
9 A. Traustason F
7 J. Ortmark M
10 J. Levi F
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (7)
22 A. Guðjohnsen
17 L. Shabani
14 E. Binaku
11 C. Telo
31 E. Tellgren
32 W. Jakobsson
23 M. Sema

Coach: G. Riddersholm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.