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Ligue 1

Referee: Fredy Fautrel

Rennes

U S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Toulouse

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

38%

62%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

6 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rennes 6. · Toulouse 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	13	10	2	1	+16	32
2	Monaco	13	9	2	2	+24	29
3	Paris SG	13	9	2	2	+19	29
4	Lyon	13	7	1	5	+5	22
5	Guingamp	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Rennes	13	6	3	4	-3	21
7	Bordeaux	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Toulouse	13	5	4	4	+5	19
9	St Etienne	13	4	6	3	+3	18
10	Angers	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Marseille	13	4	5	4	+0	17
12	Metz	13	5	2	6	-9	17
13	Montpellier	13	3	6	4	-7	15
14	Dijon	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Caen	13	4	1	8	-12	13
16	Bastia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
17	Nantes	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Nancy	13	3	3	7	-11	12
19	Lille	13	3	1	9	-9	10
20	Lorient	13	2	1	10	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Paris SG	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Rennes	7	5	2	0	+7	17
4	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+16	16
5	Marseille	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Guingamp	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	Toulouse	6	4	0	2	+6	12
8	Dijon	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Lyon	6	4	0	2	+5	12
10	St Etienne	7	3	3	1	+4	12
11	Caen	6	4	0	2	-3	12
12	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Angers	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+2	11
15	Bastia	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Lille	7	3	0	4	-3	9
17	Nancy	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Lorient	7	2	1	4	-7	7
19	Metz	6	2	1	3	-9	7
20	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+8	13
2	Nice	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+0	10
5	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Bordeaux	7	2	3	2	+0	9
7	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	+1	8
8	Toulouse	7	1	4	2	-1	7
9	Angers	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Montpellier	7	0	4	3	-10	4
14	Rennes	6	1	1	4	-10	4
15	Bastia	6	1	0	5	-3	3
16	Marseille	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Dijon	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Lille	6	0	1	5	-6	1
19	Caen	7	0	1	6	-9	1
20	Lorient	6	0	0	6	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.