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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Monaco
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Toulouse
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
17 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Apr -17 Monaco – Toulouse 3–1 14. Oct -16 Toulouse – Monaco 3–1 24. Jan -16 Monaco – Toulouse 4–0 22. Aug -15 Toulouse – Monaco 1–1

Match report

Monaco Toulouse
6′
⚽ Z. Machach 0–1
A. Delort
25′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
1–1 Jemerson ⚽
João Moutinho
28′
30′
🟨 Zinédine Machach
Half-time 1–1
João Moutinho 🟨
49′
53′
⚽ A. Delort 1–2
J. Durmaz
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
54′
55′
🔁 Somália
↦ Z. Machach
2–2 R. Falcao ⚽
Jorge
58′
64′
🔁 Y. Bodiger
↦ I. Sangaré
3–2 K. Glik ⚽
João Moutinho
70′
73′
🔁 Y. Sanogo
↦ J. Durmaz
A. Saint-Maximin 🔁
↦ K. Mbappé
75′
81′
🟨 François Moubandje
Y. Tielemans 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
5 Jemerson D
6 Jorge D
8 João Moutinho M
27 T. Lemar M
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
9 R. Falcao F
10 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
11 G. Carrillo
12 A. Saint-Maximin
17 Y. Tielemans
15 A. Diakhaby
16 D. Benaglio
24 A. Raggi
38 A. Touré

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Toulouse

4-3-3
40 A. Lafont G
29 F. Moubandje D
6 C. Jullien D
20 S. Yago D
2 K. Amian D
21 J. Durmaz M
27 A. Blin M
7 Z. Machach M
17 I. Sangaré M
10 A. Delort F
8 C. Jean F
Bench (7)
19 Somália
23 Y. Bodiger
9 Y. Sanogo
4 Y. Cahuzac
1 M. Goicoechea
12 Issiaga Sylla
13 C. Michelin

Coach: P. Dupraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.