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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Roma

S S T U U

4–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 11. · Sampdoria 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Napoli	12	9	1	2	+13	28
3	Inter	12	8	1	3	+12	25
4	Milan	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Lazio	11	7	0	4	+4	21
6	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+9	18
7	Sassuolo	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Fiorentina	12	4	5	3	+8	17
9	Torino	12	4	5	3	+2	17
10	Parma	12	5	2	5	-3	17
11	Roma	11	4	4	3	+4	16
12	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	+4	15
13	Cagliari	12	3	5	4	-4	14
14	Genoa	12	4	2	6	-9	14
15	Spal	12	4	1	7	-8	13
16	Udinese	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Bologna	11	2	3	6	-7	9
18	Frosinone	12	1	4	7	-15	7
19	Empoli	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Chievo	11	0	2	9	-20	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Juventus	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Fiorentina	6	4	2	0	+11	14
4	Inter	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Lazio	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+8	10
8	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Genoa	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Cagliari	5	2	3	0	+3	9
11	Roma	5	2	2	1	+4	8
12	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Parma	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Torino	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Bologna	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Spal	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Udinese	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Frosinone	6	0	3	3	-8	3
20	Chievo	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Inter	6	4	0	2	+4	12
3	Napoli	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Torino	6	2	4	0	+4	10
5	Lazio	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Parma	6	3	0	3	-3	9
7	Milan	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Atalanta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Sassuolo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Roma	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+4	7
12	Spal	6	2	0	4	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Cagliari	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Frosinone	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Genoa	6	1	1	4	-10	4
17	Fiorentina	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Empoli	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Chievo	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.