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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Sassuolo
S S T T U
2–2
Full-time
Bologna
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
56%
22%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

74% Possession 26%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 8. · Bologna 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 10 9 1 0 +14 28
2 Napoli 9 7 0 2 +8 21
3 Inter 9 6 1 2 +7 19
4 Lazio 9 6 0 3 +4 18
5 Fiorentina 10 4 3 3 +8 15
6 Sampdoria 9 4 3 2 +8 15
7 Roma 9 4 2 3 +4 14
8 Sassuolo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Torino 10 3 5 2 +0 14
10 Genoa 8 4 1 3 -2 13
11 Parma 10 4 1 5 -4 13
12 Atalanta 10 3 3 4 +5 12
13 Milan 8 3 3 2 +4 12
14 Spal 9 4 0 5 -2 12
15 Cagliari 9 2 4 3 -3 10
16 Udinese 9 2 2 5 -5 8
17 Bologna 9 2 2 5 -6 8
18 Empoli 10 1 3 6 -6 6
19 Chievo 9 0 2 7 -17 2
20 Frosinone 9 0 2 7 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.