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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Bologna
T S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Torino
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 32%
13%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 16. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 8 1 0 +13 25
2 Napoli 9 7 0 2 +8 21
3 Inter 8 5 1 2 +6 16
4 Lazio 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Sampdoria 8 4 2 2 +8 14
6 Roma 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Fiorentina 8 4 1 3 +8 13
8 Sassuolo 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Parma 8 4 1 3 +1 13
10 Genoa 8 4 1 3 -2 13
11 Milan 7 3 3 1 +5 12
12 Torino 8 3 3 2 +0 12
13 Spal 9 4 0 5 -2 12
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Udinese 9 2 2 5 -5 8
16 Bologna 8 2 1 5 -6 7
17 Atalanta 8 1 3 4 -2 6
18 Empoli 9 1 3 5 -5 6
19 Chievo 8 0 2 6 -13 2
20 Frosinone 9 0 2 7 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Torino
13′
Iago Falqué 0–1
S. Meïté
27′
🟨 Andrea Belotti
Arturo Calabresi 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
M. Svanberg 🔁
↦ Danilo
46′
54′
D. Baselli 0–2
Iago Falqué
1–2 F. Santander
59′
61′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
G. González 🔁
↦ M. Dijks
63′
Ibrahima Mbaye 🟨
64′
68′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ A. Belotti
73′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ D. Baselli
2–2 A. Calabresi
R. Orsolini
77′
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ R. Palacio
80′
81′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ L. De Silvestri
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bologna

3-4-1-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
18 F. Helander D
35 M. Dijks D
15 I. M'baye D
33 A. Calabresi D
16 A. Poli M
8 Á. Nagy M
24 R. Palacio F
9 F. Santander F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (12)
32 M. Svanberg
3 G. González
91 D. Falcinelli
1 Angelo da Costa
4 S. De Maio
5 E. Pulgar
6 N. Paz
17 G. Donsah
22 M. Destro
29 A. Santurro
30 O. Okwonkwo
31 B. Džemaili

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Torino

3-4-3
39 S. Sirigu G
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
30 K. Djidji D
5 A. Izzo D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (10)
11 S. Zaza
7 S. Lukić
27 V. Parigini
1 S. Ichazo
6 R. Soriano
20 S. Edera
24 E. Moretti
25 A. Rosati
34 O. Aina
36 Bremer

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.