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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Roma

S S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Bologna

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

3,2

0,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 45%

58%

32%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

58%

35%

Both score Ø 53%

71%

35%

Average goals

3,2

2,1

Scored

2,1

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

15 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 3. · Bologna 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	32	24	4	4	+41	76
2	Napoli	32	21	7	4	+39	70
3	Roma	31	18	9	4	+34	63
4	Inter	32	17	7	8	+12	58
5	Fiorentina	32	16	8	8	+16	56
6	Milan	32	13	10	9	+7	49
7	Sassuolo	32	12	12	8	+5	48
8	Lazio	32	12	9	11	+0	45
9	Chievo	32	12	8	12	-2	44
10	Genoa	32	11	7	14	+0	40
11	Torino	32	10	9	13	-3	39
12	Empoli	32	10	9	13	-7	39
13	Sampdoria	32	9	9	14	-3	36
14	Bologna	31	10	6	15	-6	36
15	Atalanta	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Udinese	32	9	7	16	-19	34
17	Carpi	32	6	10	16	-21	28
18	Palermo	32	7	7	18	-28	28
19	Frosinone	32	7	6	19	-31	27
20	Verona	32	3	13	16	-27	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	13	3	0	+26	42
2	Juventus	15	12	2	1	+17	38
3	Roma	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Fiorentina	16	10	4	2	+17	34
5	Inter	16	10	2	4	+9	32
6	Milan	16	9	4	3	+8	31
7	Genoa	16	9	3	4	+11	30
8	Lazio	16	8	3	5	+7	27
9	Sampdoria	16	7	4	5	+7	25
10	Atalanta	16	7	4	5	+5	25
11	Sassuolo	16	6	7	3	+2	25
12	Torino	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
14	Frosinone	17	6	4	7	-5	22
15	Empoli	16	5	5	6	+0	20
16	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-6	18
17	Bologna	16	4	5	7	-1	17
18	Carpi	16	4	5	7	-5	17
19	Palermo	16	4	3	9	-9	15
20	Verona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	16	8	5	3	+12	29
3	Napoli	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Inter	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+3	23
6	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Chievo	16	6	2	8	-5	20
8	Bologna	15	6	1	8	-5	19
9	Empoli	16	5	4	7	-7	19
10	Milan	16	4	6	6	-1	18
11	Lazio	16	4	6	6	-7	18
12	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-13	16
13	Torino	15	4	3	8	-6	15
14	Palermo	16	3	4	9	-19	13
15	Sampdoria	16	2	5	9	-10	11
16	Atalanta	16	2	5	9	-12	11
17	Carpi	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Genoa	16	2	4	10	-11	10
19	Verona	16	1	7	8	-17	10
20	Frosinone	15	1	2	12	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.