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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Milan

S S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Roma

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

3,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

26 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 3

7 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 17. · Roma 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Spal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Chievo	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.