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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Nice

S U S T S

0–1

Full-time

Metz

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

57%

Points per game

1,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 54%

43%

64%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

20 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 2. · Metz 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	1	1	+18	37
2	Nice	14	8	3	3	+14	27
3	Rennes	14	7	4	3	+12	25
4	Lens	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Marseille	13	6	5	2	+8	23
6	Angers	15	5	7	3	+4	22
7	Strasbourg	14	5	4	5	+6	19
8	Monaco	14	5	4	5	+1	19
9	Montpellier	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Lyon	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Nantes	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Lille	15	4	6	5	-3	18
13	Brest	14	3	6	5	-1	15
14	Lorient	14	3	6	5	-8	15
15	Reims	14	2	7	5	-3	13
16	Bordeaux	14	2	7	5	-9	13
17	Troyes	14	3	4	7	-9	13
18	Clermont	14	3	4	7	-11	13
19	St Etienne	14	2	6	6	-12	12
20	Metz	14	1	6	7	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Rennes	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Lens	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Strasbourg	8	4	2	2	+10	14
6	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Angers	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+6	12
10	Nice	7	3	3	1	+5	12
11	Lille	7	3	3	1	+0	12
12	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+3	11
13	Lorient	6	3	2	1	+2	11
14	Brest	7	2	3	2	+3	9
15	Clermont	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	St Etienne	7	1	4	2	-3	7
17	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Troyes	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
20	Metz	7	0	4	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Nice	7	5	0	2	+9	15
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Lens	7	3	1	3	-2	10
5	Angers	8	1	6	1	+1	9
6	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
7	Reims	8	1	4	3	-2	7
8	Bordeaux	7	1	4	2	-6	7
9	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
10	Rennes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Lille	8	1	3	4	-3	6
12	Nantes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
13	Brest	7	1	3	3	-4	6
14	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Montpellier	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Clermont	7	1	2	4	-10	5
19	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Lorient	8	0	4	4	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.