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Premiership

Referee: A Muir

Hearts

U U T S T

2–0

Full-time

St Mirren

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

43%

21%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hearts 3. · St Mirren 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Celtic	13	8	2	3	+21	26
3	Hearts	14	6	6	2	+9	24
4	Dundee United	14	7	3	4	+1	24
5	Motherwell	14	6	3	5	-2	21
6	St Mirren	14	3	7	4	-6	16
7	Hibernian	12	4	3	5	-1	15
8	Aberdeen	14	4	3	7	-4	15
9	ST Johnstone	13	3	5	5	-4	14
10	Livingston	13	3	4	6	-6	13
11	Dundee	13	2	4	7	-16	10
12	Ross County	13	2	3	8	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hearts	7	4	3	0	+9	15
2	Rangers	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Dundee United	7	5	0	2	+2	15
4	Celtic	6	4	2	0	+17	14
5	Motherwell	8	4	1	3	-2	13
6	Hibernian	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Aberdeen	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-2	6
9	ST Johnstone	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Dundee	7	1	3	3	-7	6
11	Ross County	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	5	0	1	+9	15
2	Celtic	7	4	0	3	+4	12
3	St Mirren	7	2	4	1	-4	10
4	Hearts	7	2	3	2	+0	9
5	Dundee United	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Livingston	8	2	3	3	-4	9
7	Motherwell	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	ST Johnstone	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Hibernian	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	Aberdeen	7	1	2	4	-4	5
11	Ross County	7	1	1	5	-5	4
12	Dundee	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.