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Championship

Referee: J Smith

Hull

T T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Millwall

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,3

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Championship · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

32%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 26%

25%

26%

Both score Ø 47%

25%

68%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hull 22. · Millwall 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	21	14	4	3	+34	46
2	Bournemouth	20	12	6	2	+20	42
3	West Brom	21	10	7	4	+12	37
4	Coventry	20	10	5	5	+7	35
5	Stoke	20	10	4	6	+6	34
6	Blackburn	20	9	6	5	+10	33
7	QPR	20	9	5	6	+6	32
8	Swansea	20	8	6	6	+3	30
9	Huddersfield	18	8	4	6	+3	28
10	Preston	21	7	7	7	-3	28
11	Luton	19	7	6	6	+5	27
12	Millwall	19	6	9	4	+0	27
13	Blackpool	19	7	6	6	-1	27
14	Middlesbrough	20	7	5	8	+1	26
15	Reading	20	8	2	10	-5	26
16	Bristol City	20	7	5	8	-6	26
17	Sheffield United	19	7	4	8	+1	25
18	Birmingham	20	6	5	9	-6	23
19	Derby	20	4	10	6	-3	22
20	Nott'm Forest	18	5	6	7	-1	21
21	Cardiff	20	5	4	11	-14	19
22	Hull	20	5	3	12	-9	18
23	Peterboro	20	4	4	12	-21	16
24	Peterborough	19	4	3	12	-21	15
25	Barnsley	20	2	6	12	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Fulham	10	7	2	1	+17	23
3	Blackburn	11	7	2	2	+11	23
4	Stoke	10	7	2	1	+9	23
5	West Brom	10	6	4	0	+11	22
6	QPR	10	6	3	1	+8	21
7	Bournemouth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
8	Swansea	10	5	4	1	+9	19
9	Huddersfield	8	6	1	1	+6	19
10	Preston	11	5	4	2	+3	19
11	Luton	9	5	2	2	+8	17
12	Middlesbrough	11	5	2	4	+4	17
13	Reading	11	5	2	4	+2	17
14	Millwall	10	4	4	2	+1	16
15	Sheffield United	10	4	2	4	+6	14
16	Derby	9	3	5	1	+2	14
17	Blackpool	10	4	2	4	-2	14
18	Peterboro	10	3	4	3	+2	13
19	Peterborough	9	3	3	3	+2	12
20	Bristol City	10	2	5	3	-2	11
21	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-3	11
22	Nott'm Forest	9	2	2	5	-5	8
23	Hull	10	2	2	6	-5	8
24	Barnsley	10	2	2	6	-7	8
25	Cardiff	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	11	7	2	2	+17	23
2	Bournemouth	11	6	4	1	+8	22
3	West Brom	11	4	3	4	+1	15
4	Bristol City	10	5	0	5	-4	15
5	Nott'm Forest	9	3	4	2	+4	13
6	Blackpool	9	3	4	2	+1	13
7	Birmingham	11	3	3	5	-3	12
8	Cardiff	10	3	3	4	-6	12
9	Millwall	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	QPR	10	3	2	5	-2	11
11	Stoke	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Sheffield United	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Swansea	10	3	2	5	-6	11
14	Blackburn	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Luton	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Hull	10	3	1	6	-4	10
17	Huddersfield	10	2	3	5	-3	9
18	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-3	9
19	Preston	10	2	3	5	-6	9
20	Reading	9	3	0	6	-7	9
21	Coventry	9	2	3	4	-7	9
22	Derby	11	1	5	5	-5	8
23	Barnsley	10	0	4	6	-11	4
24	Peterboro	10	1	0	9	-23	3
25	Peterborough	10	1	0	9	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.