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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Sociedad
S U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Celta
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 67%
58%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 13. · Celta 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 13 8 2 3 +11 26
2 Barcelona 13 7 4 2 +16 25
3 Ath Madrid 13 6 6 1 +8 24
4 Alaves 13 7 2 4 +4 23
5 Espanol 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Real Madrid 13 6 2 5 +1 20
7 Girona 13 5 5 3 +1 20
8 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Valencia 13 3 8 2 +2 17
11 Getafe 13 4 5 4 +1 17
12 Valladolid 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Sociedad 12 4 4 4 +1 16
14 Betis 13 4 4 5 -4 16
15 Celta 12 3 5 4 +2 14
16 Villarreal 13 3 5 5 -1 14
17 Leganes 13 3 4 6 -6 13
18 Ath Bilbao 13 1 8 4 -6 11
19 Vallecano 13 1 4 8 -14 7
20 Huesca 13 1 4 8 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Celta
1–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Gómez
↦ E. Mor
2–0 Zurutuza
A. Januzaj
47′
59′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ A. Hjulsager
Mikel Merino 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
63′
76′
🟨 David Juncà
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
79′
82′
M. Gómez 2–1
Brais Méndez
Andoni Gorosabel 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
86′
86′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ O. Yokuşlu
87′
🟨 Maximiliano Gómez
Sandro Ramírez 🟨
89′
Mikel Oyarzabal 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-4-2
13 Moyà G
6 H. Moreno D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 T. Hernández D
17 Zurutuza M
11 A. Januzaj M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
8 Mikel Merino
24 Sandro Ramírez
18 Andoni Gorosabel
27 R. Le Normand
1 G. Rulli
21 Jon Bautista
14 Rubén Pardo

Coach: Asier Garitano

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Álvarez G
4 N. Araújo D
17 Juncà D
20 Kevin Vázquez D
3 David Costas D
5 O. Yokuşlu M
21 Jozabed M
16 A. Hjulsager M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
7 E. Mor F
Bench (7)
9 M. Gómez
19 S. Boufal
11 P. Sisto
13 Rubén Blanco
24 F. Roncaglia
25 J. Alonso
15 R. Mazáň

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.