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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Betis
S S T T T
3–3
Full-time
Celta
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
10%
70%
Average goals
1,4
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 14. · Celta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 11 7 3 1 +17 24
2 Sevilla 11 6 2 3 +9 20
3 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +7 20
4 Alaves 11 6 2 3 +4 20
5 Espanol 10 5 3 2 +6 18
6 Real Madrid 11 5 2 4 +2 17
7 Levante 11 5 2 4 +1 17
8 Getafe 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 Valladolid 11 4 4 3 +0 16
10 Girona 11 4 4 3 -1 16
11 Eibar 11 4 2 5 -6 14
12 Celta 10 3 4 3 +4 13
13 Sociedad 11 3 4 4 -1 13
14 Betis 10 3 3 4 -4 12
15 Valencia 11 1 8 2 -2 11
16 Villarreal 11 2 4 5 -2 10
17 Ath Bilbao 10 1 7 2 -4 10
18 Leganes 11 2 3 6 -7 9
19 Vallecano 11 1 3 7 -11 6
20 Huesca 11 1 3 7 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Celta
1–0 Loren Morón
G. Lo Celso
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Hjulsager
↦ S. Boufal
2–0 Junior Firpo
A. Guardado
57′
61′
🔁 M. Gómez
↦ E. Mor
62′
🟨 David Juncà
63′
M. Gómez 2–1
A. Hjulsager
Joaquín 🟨
65′
Sergio Canales 🟨
69′
69′
Brais Méndez 2–2
Juncà
Junior Firpo 🟨
72′
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
78′
A. Sanabria 🔁
↦ Francis Guerrero
80′
Joaquín 🔁
↦ Loren Morón
80′
82′
🟨 Okay Yokuşlu
84′
M. Gómez 2–3
A. Hjulsager
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ Sidnei
85′
3–3 Canales
87′
90′
🔁 N. Araújo
↦ Brais Méndez
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Betis

3-4-2-1
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
20 Junior Firpo M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
2 Francis Guerrero M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
9 A. Sanabria
17 Joaquín
11 Cristian Tello
34 W. Kaptoum
33 Roberto González
4 Z. Feddal
1 Joel Robles

Coach: Quique Setién

Celta

4-4-2
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
17 Juncà D
5 O. Yokuşlu M
19 S. Boufal M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
7 E. Mor F
Bench (7)
16 A. Hjulsager
9 M. Gómez
4 N. Araújo
25 J. Alonso
21 Jozabed
13 Rubén Blanco
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: A. Mohamed

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.