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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Valencia

U U U U S

1–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,5

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

14%

57%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

14%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

1,6

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,6

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

24% Possession 76%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 16. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+10	16
2	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+5	15
3	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Espanol	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Betis	8	3	3	2	-1	12
9	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Celta	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Levante	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Eibar	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Valencia	7	1	5	1	-1	8
17	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
18	Leganes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
19	Vallecano	7	1	2	4	-8	5
20	Huesca	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+9	8
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Betis	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Celta	4	1	3	0	+2	6
10	Valladolid	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Valencia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Levante	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Alaves	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Girona	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.