Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nest-Sotra
Notodden
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjondalen
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +23 | 52 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | +25 | 49 |
| 3 |
Viking
|
25 | 16 | 1 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 41 |
| 5 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 37 |
| 6 |
Ull/Kisa
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 35 |
| 7 |
Sandnes ULF
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | +6 | 34 |
| 9 |
Ham-Kam
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +0 | 33 |
| 10 |
Jerv
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 |
Nest-Sotra
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 13 |
Strommen
|
25 | 9 | 1 | 15 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 |
Notodden
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 26 |
| 15 |
Floro
|
25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -27 | 24 |
| 16 |
Levanger
|
25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -30 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Nest-Sotra
Nest-Sotra
Floro
Levanger
Nest-Sotra
Nest-Sotra
Strommen
Nest-Sotra
Ham-Kam
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.