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La Liga
Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan
Alaves
T S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Levante
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
36%
12%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
44%
52%
Both score Ø 40%
36%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alaves 16. · Levante 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 20 6 0 +56 66
2 Ath Madrid 26 18 7 1 +34 61
3 Real Madrid 26 15 6 5 +34 51
4 Valencia 26 15 5 6 +20 50
5 Sevilla 26 13 3 10 -6 42
6 Villarreal 26 12 5 9 +6 41
7 Eibar 26 11 5 10 -5 38
8 Girona 26 10 7 9 +0 37
9 Betis 26 11 4 11 -7 37
10 Getafe 26 9 9 8 +10 36
11 Celta 26 10 5 11 +5 35
12 Ath Bilbao 26 7 11 8 -2 32
13 Espanol 26 7 10 9 -9 31
14 Sociedad 26 8 6 12 +0 30
15 Leganes 26 8 6 12 -11 30
16 Alaves 25 9 1 15 -15 28
17 Levante 25 3 11 11 -19 20
18 Las Palmas 26 5 5 16 -34 20
19 La Coruna 26 4 6 16 -32 18
20 Malaga 26 3 4 19 -25 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Sep -17 Levante – Alaves 0–2

Match report

Alaves Levante
29′
🟥 Chema
Munir El Haddadi 🟨
31′
31′
🟨 Pedro López
Alfonso Pedraza 🟨
33′
34′
🔁 Rober
↦ Campaña
44′
🟨 Róber Pier
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ Roger Martí
Tomás Pina 🟨
48′
54′
🟨 Emmanuel Boateng
60′
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
Rubén Sobrino 🔁
↦ J. Guidetti
70′
Munir El Haddadi 🟨
77′
Munir El Haddadi 🟥
77′
Burgui 🔁
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
78′
1–0 Laguardia
Ibai Gómez
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
12 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
32 Martín D
19 Manu García M
18 Tomás Pina M
11 Ibai Gómez M
17 Alfonso Pedraza M
10 J. Guidetti F
24 Munir F
Bench (7)
7 Rubén Sobrino
14 Burgui
4 Alexis
13 Antonio Sivera
16 D. Torres
21 H. Pérez
22 M. Wakaso

Coach: Abelardo

Levante

4-1-4-1
13 Oier G
19 Pedro López D
22 Luna D
6 Chema D
18 E. Cabaco D
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
20 S. Lukić M
8 J. Lerma M
9 Roger Martí F
14 Ivi López M
Bench (7)
4 Rober
21 E. Boateng
10 E. Bardhi
12 Coke
16 Rubén Rochina
17 G. Pazzini
27 Koke

Coach: Juan Muñiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Fernandez Borbalan · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.