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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Blackburn
S T U U S
2–2
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 13. · Nott'm Forest 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 +8 18
2 West Brom 9 5 2 2 +10 17
3 Leeds 9 4 4 1 +9 16
4 Derby 8 5 1 2 +6 16
5 Sheffield United 9 5 1 3 +4 16
6 Wigan 9 5 1 3 +3 16
7 Brentford 9 4 3 2 +6 15
8 Bristol City 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Sheffield Weds 10 4 3 3 +0 15
10 Nott'm Forest 9 3 5 1 +2 14
11 Aston Villa 10 3 5 2 +1 14
12 Norwich 9 4 2 3 +0 14
13 Blackburn 9 3 5 1 +0 14
14 Swansea 9 3 4 2 +1 13
15 Bolton 9 3 3 3 -3 12
16 QPR 9 3 1 5 -8 10
17 Birmingham 9 1 6 2 -1 9
18 Stoke 9 2 3 4 -4 9
19 Rotherham 9 3 0 6 -8 9
20 Reading 9 2 2 5 -1 8
21 Hull 9 2 1 6 -7 7
22 Millwall 9 1 3 5 -6 6
23 Ipswich 9 0 5 4 -6 5
24 Preston 9 1 2 6 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Nott'm Forest
44′
🟨 Jack Colback
Half-time 0–1
52′
L. Grabban 0–1
João Carvalho
A. Armstrong 🔁
↦ P. Downing
58′
J. Rodwell 🔁
↦ R. Nyambe
60′
1–1 A. Armstrong
B. Dack
65′
71′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ M. Cash
2–1 B. Dack
D. Graham
74′
J. Rothwell 🔁
↦ C. Evans
75′
80′
L. Grabban 2–2
82′
🔁 B. Osborn
↦ João Carvalho
86′
🔁 D. Murphy
↦ L. Grabban
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 David Raya G
25 P. Downing D
26 D. Lenihan D
17 A. Bell D
2 R. Nyambe D
31 E. Bennett M
29 C. Evans M
6 R. Smallwood M
23 B. Dack M
4 H. Reed M
10 D. Graham F
Bench (7)
7 A. Armstrong
5 J. Rodwell
8 J. Rothwell
13 J. Leutwiler
27 L. Travis
32 C. Conway
45 K. Palmer

Coach: T. Mowbray

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
1 C. Pantilimon G
4 D. Fox D
18 J. Robinson D
44 M. Hefele D
21 S. Janko D
6 J. Colback M
5 A. Guédioura M
10 João Carvalho M
14 M. Cash M
7 L. Grabban F
23 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
31 Gil Dias
11 B. Osborn
9 D. Murphy
8 B. Watson
15 L. Steele
20 M. Dawson
27 T. Darikwa

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.