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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Sevilla

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

2,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,2

This season — La Liga · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 70%

65%

75%

Points per game

2,1

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

71%

75%

Both score Ø 70%

71%

69%

Average goals

3,4

3,7

Scored

2,1

2,8

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

6 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+31	40
2	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+30	38
3	Sevilla	17	11	3	3	+15	36
4	Ath Madrid	18	10	4	4	+18	34
5	Villarreal	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Sociedad	17	9	2	6	+3	29
7	Ath Bilbao	18	8	4	6	+3	28
8	Celta	18	8	3	7	-3	27
9	Eibar	18	7	5	6	+1	26
10	Las Palmas	18	6	6	6	-2	24
11	Espanol	18	5	8	5	-3	23
12	Alaves	18	5	7	6	-3	22
13	Malaga	17	5	6	6	-3	21
14	Betis	18	6	3	9	-10	21
15	La Coruna	18	4	6	8	-5	18
16	Leganes	18	4	5	9	-16	17
17	Valencia	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Sp Gijon	18	3	3	12	-18	12
19	Granada	18	1	7	10	-24	10
20	Osasuna	18	1	6	11	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Sevilla	8	7	0	1	+9	21
3	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
4	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
5	Villarreal	9	6	2	1	+12	20
6	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+7	20
7	Las Palmas	9	5	4	0	+9	19
8	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
9	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
10	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+3	17
12	Betis	9	4	3	2	+0	15
13	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
14	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	9	1	4	4	-6	7
20	Osasuna	9	0	3	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
5	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
6	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-10	10
10	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-3	8
12	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Celta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	Malaga	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Granada	9	0	3	6	-20	3
20	Sp Gijon	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.