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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Leganes

U S S T T

0–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 68%

45%

91%

Points per game

1,5

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

27%

55%

Both score Ø 27%

18%

36%

Average goals

1,5

3,1

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

0,7

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 5

25 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 9. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+26	31
2	Valencia	11	8	3	0	+19	27
3	Real Madrid	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	5	0	+10	23
5	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+7	20
6	Sevilla	11	6	1	4	+1	19
7	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Betis	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Leganes	11	5	2	4	+1	17
10	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+5	16
11	Girona	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Celta	11	4	2	5	+5	14
13	Espanol	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Levante	11	2	6	3	-3	12
15	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
17	Eibar	11	2	2	7	-19	8
18	Alaves	12	2	0	10	-14	6
19	Las Palmas	11	2	0	9	-20	6
20	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Valencia	6	5	1	0	+14	16
3	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Sevilla	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Betis	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Espanol	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Getafe	6	3	0	3	+5	9
9	Levante	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
11	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	La Coruna	6	2	0	4	-5	6
17	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-4	5
18	Malaga	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3
20	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Girona	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+0	7
9	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Celta	5	2	0	3	+4	6
11	Sevilla	6	2	0	4	-6	6
12	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Levante	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-6	3
17	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-10	3
19	Eibar	6	1	0	5	-15	3
20	Malaga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.