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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Barcelona

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Leganes

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

3,3

0,3

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 41%

64%

18%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

64%

41%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Leganes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	21	16	4	1	+38	52
2	Sevilla	23	15	4	4	+18	49
3	Barcelona	22	14	6	2	+43	48
4	Ath Madrid	23	13	6	4	+24	45
5	Sociedad	23	13	2	8	+4	41
6	Villarreal	23	10	9	4	+15	39
7	Eibar	23	10	5	8	+5	35
8	Ath Bilbao	23	10	5	8	+0	35
9	Celta	22	10	3	9	+0	33
10	Espanol	23	8	8	7	-1	32
11	Alaves	23	7	9	7	-6	30
12	Las Palmas	22	7	7	8	-2	28
13	Betis	22	6	6	10	-13	24
14	Malaga	22	5	8	9	-7	23
15	Valencia	22	6	5	11	-9	23
16	La Coruna	22	4	7	11	-9	19
17	Leganes	22	4	6	12	-22	18
18	Sp Gijon	23	4	4	15	-22	16
19	Granada	23	3	7	13	-28	16
20	Osasuna	23	1	7	15	-28	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Sevilla	11	9	1	1	+12	28
3	Ath Bilbao	12	8	3	1	+9	27
4	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+12	24
6	Celta	11	8	0	3	+6	24
7	Las Palmas	12	6	5	1	+10	23
8	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+6	23
9	Sociedad	12	7	2	3	+4	23
10	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+19	21
11	Betis	12	4	6	2	+0	18
12	Espanol	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Malaga	10	5	2	3	+3	17
14	La Coruna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Alaves	11	2	6	3	-7	12
17	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Sp Gijon	11	3	1	7	-12	10
19	Leganes	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+24	27
2	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+6	21
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+17	20
4	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
5	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	18
6	Sociedad	11	6	0	5	+0	18
7	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+3	15
8	Espanol	11	4	3	4	-4	15
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-12	11
12	Celta	11	2	3	6	-6	9
13	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	8
14	Malaga	12	0	6	6	-10	6
15	Sp Gijon	12	1	3	8	-10	6
16	Betis	10	2	0	8	-13	6
17	Osasuna	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Las Palmas	10	1	2	7	-12	5
19	La Coruna	12	0	5	7	-13	5
20	Granada	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.