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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Velasco Carballo
Valencia
S S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 31%
30%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
51%
49%
Both score Ø 49%
54%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 10. · Sociedad 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 37 28 4 5 +80 88
2 Real Madrid 37 27 6 4 +74 87
3 Ath Madrid 37 27 4 6 +43 85
4 Villarreal 37 18 10 9 +11 64
5 Celta 37 17 9 11 -6 60
6 Ath Bilbao 37 17 8 12 +11 59
7 Sevilla 37 14 10 13 +3 52
8 Malaga 37 11 12 14 +0 45
9 Sociedad 37 12 9 16 -4 45
10 Valencia 37 11 11 15 -1 44
11 Las Palmas 37 12 8 17 -5 44
12 Eibar 37 11 10 16 -10 43
13 La Coruna 37 8 18 11 -14 42
14 Betis 37 10 12 15 -19 42
15 Espanol 37 11 7 19 -36 40
16 Granada 37 10 9 18 -20 39
17 Sp Gijon 37 9 9 19 -24 36
18 Getafe 37 9 9 19 -29 36
19 Vallecano 37 8 11 18 -23 35
20 Levante 37 8 8 21 -31 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jan -16 Sociedad – Valencia 2–0

Match report

Valencia Sociedad
Rubén Vezo 🟨
34′
Sito Pascual 🔁
↦ P. Piatti
39′
44′
🟨 Asier Illarramendi
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Jon Bautista
João Cancelo 🔁
↦ Barragán
56′
58′
🔁 Bruma
↦ Jon Bautista
André Gomes 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 Jonathas
↦ Xabi Prieto
Negredo 🔁
↦ André Gomes
84′
84′
🔁 Igor Zubeldía
↦ Rubén Pardo
94′
Mikel Oiarzabal 0–1
De La Bella
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valencia

13 Jaume Doménech G
19 Barragán M
6 Guilherme Siqueira D
4 Aderllan Santos D
3 Rúben Vezo D
10 Dani Parejo M
21 André Gomes M
12 Danilo Barbosa M
11 P. Piatti M
9 Paco Alcácer F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
34 Sito Pascual
2 João Cancelo
7 Negredo
25 M. Ryan
28 Tropi
36 Toni Lato
46 Carlos Soler

Sociedad

1 G. Rulli G
3 Mikel González D
24 De La Bella D
23 D. Reyes D
30 Aritz Elustondo D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
14 Rubén Pardo M
28 Mikel Oiarzabal M
35 Jon Bautista F
Bench (7)
7 Bruma
22 Jonathas
29 Igor Zubeldía
13 Oier
37 Álvaro Odriozola
5 Bergara
19 Yuri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Velasco Carballo · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
3,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.