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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Valencia

T U T U T

2–2

Full-time

Malaga

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

23%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 74%

85%

62%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 13

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 7

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 17. · Malaga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+25	34
2	Barcelona	14	8	4	2	+19	28
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+5	27
4	Ath Madrid	14	7	4	3	+17	25
5	Villarreal	14	6	5	3	+9	23
6	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+8	23
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	2	5	+3	23
8	Eibar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
10	Las Palmas	14	5	5	4	+3	20
11	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Espanol	14	4	7	3	+0	19
13	Alaves	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Betis	14	4	3	7	-11	15
15	Leganes	14	4	2	8	-14	14
16	Sp Gijon	14	3	3	8	-13	12
17	Valencia	13	3	2	8	-7	11
18	La Coruna	13	2	4	7	-10	10
19	Granada	14	1	5	8	-17	8
20	Osasuna	14	1	4	9	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Malaga	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
7	Las Palmas	7	4	3	0	+8	15
8	Celta	7	5	0	2	+3	15
9	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+11	14
10	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+6	14
11	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+8	12
12	Sp Gijon	7	3	1	3	-4	10
13	Betis	7	2	3	2	-3	9
14	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
15	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
17	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
18	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Osasuna	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
2	Barcelona	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	12
4	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Alaves	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-8	9
9	Villarreal	7	1	4	2	+0	7
10	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
14	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Las Palmas	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Sp Gijon	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Granada	7	0	2	5	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.