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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
La Coruna
T T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Valencia
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 61%
44%
78%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 18. · Valencia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +18 24
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +18 22
3 Ath Madrid 10 6 3 1 +19 21
4 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +5 21
5 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +10 19
6 Sociedad 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Ath Bilbao 10 5 1 4 +2 16
8 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +2 15
9 Celta 10 4 2 4 -4 14
10 Las Palmas 10 3 4 3 +2 13
11 Malaga 10 3 3 4 +0 12
12 Espanol 10 2 5 3 -4 11
13 Betis 10 3 2 5 -9 11
14 Alaves 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -10 10
16 Valencia 9 3 0 6 -5 9
17 Sp Gijon 10 2 3 5 -11 9
18 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
19 Osasuna 10 1 4 5 -8 7
20 Granada 10 0 3 7 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Valencia
34′
🟨 Nani
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Çolak
Juanfran
47′
53′
🔁 Munir
↦ A. Abdennour
54′
🟨 Eliaquim Mangala
56′
Rodrigo 1–1
Raúl Albentosa 🟨
60′
64′
🟨 Ezequiel Garay
66′
🟨 Enzo Pérez
68′
🔁 Álvaro Medrán
↦ E. Pérez
74′
🔁 F. Cartabia
↦ Rodrigo
Guilherme 🔁
↦ C. Borges
76′
R. Babel 🔁
↦ F. Andone
79′
Fernando Navarro 🔁
↦ Juanfran
85′
90′
🟨 Martín Montoya
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
13 P. Tytoń
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
6 Albentosa D
21 Bruno Gama M
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
8 E. Çolak M
2 Juanfran D
10 F. Andone F
9 M. Moreno M
Bench (7)
20 Guilherme
23 R. Babel
3 Fernando Navarro
1 G. Lux
11 Carles Gil
14 Alejandro Arribas
19 F. Fajr

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Valencia

4-2-3-1
1 Diego Alves G
24 E. Garay D
23 A. Abdennour D
5 E. Mangala D
21 Martín Montoya D
2 João Cancelo D
7 Mario Suárez M
17 Nani M
8 E. Pérez M
10 Dani Parejo M
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
9 Munir
20 Álvaro Medrán
16 F. Cartabia
4 Aderllan Santos
11 Z. Bakkali
22 Santi Mina
25 M. Ryan

Coach: C. Prandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.