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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Juventus

S S S T S

2–1

Full-time

Napoli

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 70%

80%

60%

Points per game

2,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

70%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Napoli 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	8	0	2	+14	24
2	Roma	10	7	1	2	+14	22
3	Napoli	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Milan	10	6	1	3	+2	19
5	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+9	18
6	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Atalanta	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Torino	10	4	3	3	+7	15
9	Genoa	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Chievo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Inter	10	4	2	4	+0	14
12	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-3	13
13	Sassuolo	10	4	1	5	-4	13
14	Bologna	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
16	Sampdoria	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Pescara	10	1	4	5	-6	7
18	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Palermo	10	1	3	6	-12	6
20	Crotone	10	0	2	8	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Milan	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Torino	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+7	10
7	Cagliari	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Bologna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Genoa	5	2	3	0	+5	9
10	Fiorentina	5	2	3	0	+2	9
11	Atalanta	5	3	0	2	+1	9
12	Sassuolo	5	3	0	2	-1	9
13	Inter	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Chievo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+1	7
16	Udinese	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Pescara	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Palermo	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Napoli	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Roma	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Chievo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Milan	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Genoa	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Inter	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Palermo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Udinese	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Torino	5	1	1	3	+0	4
14	Pescara	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Cagliari	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.