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Premier League
Referee: Robert Madley
Tottenham
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Leicester
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
22%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
1,9
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Leicester 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 10 7 2 1 +13 23
2 Man City 9 6 2 1 +11 20
3 Liverpool 9 6 2 1 +9 20
4 Chelsea 9 6 1 2 +10 19
5 Tottenham 9 5 4 0 +9 19
6 Everton 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Man United 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Southampton 9 3 4 2 +3 13
9 Watford 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Crystal Palace 9 3 2 4 +0 11
12 Leicester 9 3 2 4 -4 11
13 West Brom 9 2 4 3 +0 10
14 Burnley 9 3 1 5 -5 10
15 West Ham 9 3 1 5 -7 10
16 Stoke 9 2 3 4 -7 9
17 Middlesbrough 9 1 4 4 -4 7
18 Hull 9 2 1 6 -14 7
19 Swansea 9 1 2 6 -7 5
20 Sunderland 10 0 2 8 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Leicester
Danny Rose 🟨
37′
Heung-Min Son 🟨
41′
1–0 V. Janssen
44′
Half-time 1–1
48′
A. Musa 1–1
J. Vardy
54′
🟨 Riyad Mahrez
63′
🟨 Ahmed Musa
65′
🟨 Jamie Vardy
Victor Wanyama 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 J. Schlupp
↦ A. Musa
72′
🔁 M. Albrighton
↦ R. Mahrez
78′
🔁 L. Ulloa
↦ S. Okazaki
G. N'Koudou 🔁
↦ D. Alli
83′
H. Winks 🔁
↦ V. Wanyama
87′
88′
🟨 Danny Simpson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
3 D. Rose D
2 K. Walker D
19 M. Dembélé M
12 V. Wanyama M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier D
7 Heung-Min Son M
9 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
14 G. N'Koudou
29 H. Winks
13 M. Vorm
16 K. Trippier
25 J. Onomah
33 B. Davies
38 C. Carter-Vickers

Coach: M. Pochettino

Leicester

4-4-2
1 K. Schmeichel G
6 R. Huth D
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
10 A. King M
4 D. Drinkwater M
20 S. Okazaki F
7 A. Musa M
26 R. Mahrez M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
15 J. Schlupp
11 M. Albrighton
23 L. Ulloa
2 Luis Hernández
13 D. Amartey
21 R. Zieler
22 D. Gray

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.