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La Liga

Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo

Betis

T U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Betis 16. · Malaga 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Sevilla	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+9	9
5	Las Palmas	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Villarreal	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Eibar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Leganes	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
12	Alaves	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Malaga	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Betis	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Celta	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Granada	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Malaga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Betis	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.