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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Genk
T S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Westerlo
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
58%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 5. · Westerlo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 9 8 0 1 +15 24
2 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Standard 12 5 4 3 +10 19
4 Kortrijk 12 4 5 3 +2 17
5 Genk 12 5 2 5 -2 17
6 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +9 16
7 Gent 7 5 1 1 +7 16
8 Charleroi 7 4 3 0 +4 15
9 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 +0 15
10 Oostende 8 4 2 2 +2 14
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 3 2 7 -7 11
12 Eupen 12 3 2 7 -12 11
13 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -8 10
14 Beveren 12 2 4 6 -10 10
15 St Truiden 12 2 3 7 -6 9
16 Westerlo 12 2 3 7 -14 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Westerlo
Nikolaos Karelis 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Pozuelo
L. Bailey
54′
59′
🔁 Y. Buyens
↦ M. Heylen
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
66′
2–0 N. Karelis
L. Bailey
66′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ T. Buffel
70′
76′
🔁 R. Henkens
↦ E. Acolatse
76′
🔁 J. Molenberghs
↦ N. Rommens
82′
J. Molenberghs 2–1
M. Apau
S. Dewaest 🔁
↦ O. Colley
83′
Wilfred Ndidi 🟨
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Brabec D
3 B. Nastić D
4 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
25 O. Ndidi M
19 T. Buffel F
10 T. Sušić M
24 Pozuelo M
7 N. Karelis F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
77 M. Samatta
28 B. Heynen
6 S. Dewaest
5 S. Walsh
8 B. Kumordzi
14 L. Trossard
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Maes

Westerlo

4-4-2
30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
2 M. Apau D
16 J. Mustoe M
73 N. Miletić D
24 M. Heylen D
8 M. Annys M
11 K. Hyland M
28 N. Rommens M
9 E. Acolatse F
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (7)
29 Y. Buyens
6 R. Henkens
23 J. Molenberghs
1 K. Van Hout
17 K. Schuermans
19 D. Christensen
33 M. Manias

Coach: J. Mathijssen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.