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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Sp Gijon
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
22%
67%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
78%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Sevilla 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 9 6 3 0 +15 21
2 Sevilla 9 6 2 1 +5 20
3 Barcelona 9 6 1 2 +17 19
4 Villarreal 9 5 4 0 +11 19
5 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 +17 18
6 Sociedad 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Ath Bilbao 9 5 0 4 +2 15
8 Celta 9 4 1 4 -4 13
9 Las Palmas 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Malaga 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Eibar 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Betis 9 3 2 4 -8 11
13 Alaves 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -10 10
15 Valencia 9 3 0 6 -5 9
16 Espanol 9 1 5 3 -5 8
17 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
18 Sp Gijon 9 2 2 5 -11 8
19 Osasuna 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Granada 9 0 3 6 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Sevilla
4′
L. Vietto 0–1
W. Ben Yedder
Isma López 🟨
6′
1–1 Moi Gómez
Canella
20′
Iván Cuéllar 🟨
23′
23′
🟨 Gabriel Mercado
Duje Čop 🟨
24′
Moi Gómez 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Iborra
↦ S. Nasri
Burgui 🔁
↦ Isma López
69′
D. N'Di 🔁
↦ D. Čop
70′
Nacho Cases 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 Pablo Sarabia
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Lora 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
82′
Fernando Amorebieta 🟨
83′
90′
🟨 Daniel Carriço
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 F. Amorebieta D
15 Canella D
16 Lillo Castellano D
4 Jorge Meré D
18 Isma López M
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
23 Moi Gómez M
24 D. Čop F
25 Viguera F
Bench (7)
14 Burgui
20 D. N'Di
11 Lora
8 R. Aït-Atmane
9 Carlos Castro
13 Diego Mariño
17 Akram Afif

Coach: Abelardo

Sevilla

3-4-1-2
1 Sergio Rico G
23 A. Rami D
24 G. Mercado D
3 Mariano D
10 S. Nasri M
6 Daniel Carriço D
15 S. N'Zonzi M
20 Vitolo M
22 F. Vázquez M
12 W. Ben Yedder F
9 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
8 Iborra
17 Pablo Sarabia
4 M. Kranevitter
5 T. Kolodziejczak
11 J. Correa
19 Ganso
25 S. Sirigu

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.