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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Ath Madrid

U S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

21%

64%

Both score Ø 40%

29%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

0,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Ath Bilbao 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	2	2	+21	35
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Real Madrid	14	9	3	2	+20	30
4	Celta	15	8	4	3	+4	28
5	Villarreal	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	La Coruna	15	5	8	2	+7	23
7	Sevilla	15	6	4	5	+2	22
8	Valencia	15	5	6	4	+7	21
9	Ath Bilbao	14	6	3	5	+5	21
10	Eibar	15	5	6	4	+2	21
11	Betis	15	5	4	6	-6	19
12	Espanol	15	5	2	8	-11	17
13	Sociedad	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	Getafe	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	Sp Gijon	15	4	3	8	-8	15
16	Malaga	15	3	5	7	-5	14
17	Granada	15	3	5	7	-8	14
18	Vallecano	15	4	2	9	-11	14
19	Las Palmas	15	3	4	8	-10	13
20	Levante	15	2	5	8	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Sevilla	8	6	0	2	+7	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Getafe	8	4	2	2	+7	14
7	Celta	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+7	13
9	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+6	13
10	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Espanol	7	3	2	2	-3	11
13	La Coruna	7	2	4	1	+4	10
14	Vallecano	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Sociedad	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Levante	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Betis	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Granada	7	1	2	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+10	14
3	Celta	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Betis	8	4	2	2	-1	14
5	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Eibar	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Granada	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Valencia	8	2	2	4	+0	8
10	Ath Bilbao	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	2	0	6	-8	6
15	Malaga	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	Levante	7	1	2	4	-9	5
17	Sevilla	7	0	4	3	-5	4
18	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Las Palmas	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Getafe	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.