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La Liga

Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo

Ath Bilbao

S S S T S

0–0

Full-time

Malaga

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

46%

15%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

69%

23%

Both score Ø 35%

54%

15%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,6

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Malaga 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	1	2	+21	34
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Real Madrid	14	9	3	2	+20	30
4	Celta	14	7	4	3	+3	25
5	Villarreal	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	La Coruna	14	5	7	2	+7	22
7	Valencia	14	5	5	4	+7	20
8	Ath Bilbao	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Eibar	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Sevilla	14	5	4	5	+0	19
11	Betis	14	5	4	5	-5	19
12	Espanol	13	5	1	7	-10	16
13	Sociedad	14	4	3	7	-3	15
14	Sp Gijon	14	4	3	7	-6	15
15	Getafe	14	4	2	8	-8	14
16	Vallecano	14	4	2	8	-10	14
17	Granada	14	2	5	7	-9	11
18	Malaga	13	2	4	7	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	14	2	4	8	-11	10
20	Levante	13	2	4	7	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+17	21
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Sevilla	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Getafe	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+7	13
8	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
9	Celta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	La Coruna	7	2	4	1	+4	10
12	Vallecano	7	3	1	3	-2	10
13	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
14	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
15	Sociedad	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Las Palmas	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Levante	7	1	3	3	-5	6
19	Betis	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Granada	7	1	2	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+10	14
3	Celta	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Betis	7	4	2	1	+0	14
5	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	La Coruna	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Eibar	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Ath Bilbao	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Valencia	7	2	1	4	+0	7
11	Sociedad	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Espanol	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Sevilla	7	0	4	3	-5	4
16	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-8	4
17	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Las Palmas	7	0	2	5	-10	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.