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La Liga
Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido
Celta
U U S T S
1–5
Full-time
Valencia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
80%
30%
Average goals
3,4
1,8
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
15 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 3. · Valencia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 Barcelona 10 8 0 2 +10 24
3 Celta 10 6 3 1 +8 21
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Villarreal 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Eibar 10 4 4 2 +3 16
7 Valencia 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Ath Bilbao 10 4 2 4 +3 14
9 La Coruna 10 3 5 2 +3 14
10 Espanol 10 4 1 5 -10 13
11 Sevilla 10 3 3 4 +0 12
12 Sp Gijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Betis 10 3 3 4 -6 12
14 Getafe 10 3 1 6 -5 10
15 Vallecano 10 3 1 6 -7 10
16 Sociedad 11 2 3 6 -2 9
17 Malaga 10 2 3 5 -3 9
18 Las Palmas 11 2 3 6 -7 9
19 Granada 10 1 4 5 -8 7
20 Levante 10 1 3 6 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Valencia
13′
Paco Alcácer 0–1
Dani Parejo
1–1 A. Fernández
D. Wass
24′
27′
🟨 Javi Fuego
37′
🟨 José Luis Gayà
45′
Dani Parejo 1–2
Half-time 1–3
46′
Paco Alcácer 1–3
50′
🟨 Shkodran Mustafi
52′
🔁 Santi Mina
↦ Z. Bakkali
64′
Dani Parejo 1–4
Paco Alcácer
N. Radoja 🔁
↦ D. Wass
67′
68′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ Paco Alcácer
Augusto Fernández 🟨
73′
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ Iago Aspas
74′
79′
S. Mustafi 1–5
Dani Parejo
81′
🔁 Danilo Barbosa
↦ Dani Parejo
D. Dražić 🔁
↦ F. Orellana
83′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
2 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fontàs D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
24 A. Fernández M
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
9 Iago Aspas F
10 Nolito F
Bench (7)
6 N. Radoja
11 J. Guidetti
16 D. Dražić
7 T. Bongonda
17 L. Madinda
21 Planas
26 Néstor Díaz

Valencia

24 Jaume Doménech G
19 Barragán
5 S. Mustafi D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
18 Javi Fuego M
10 Dani Parejo M
21 André Gomes M
16 Z. Bakkali M
9 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (7)
22 Santi Mina
11 P. Piatti
12 Danilo Barbosa
4 Aderllan Santos
6 L. Orbán
13 Yoel
20 R. de Paul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
14,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.