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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Celta

S T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Sp Gijon

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

75%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

75%

42%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

6 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 6. · Sp Gijon 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	0	2	+21	33
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
3	Real Madrid	12	7	3	2	+15	24
4	La Coruna	13	5	6	2	+7	21
5	Villarreal	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Celta	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Eibar	12	5	5	2	+5	20
8	Valencia	12	5	4	3	+8	19
9	Betis	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Ath Bilbao	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Espanol	13	5	1	7	-10	16
12	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Vallecano	12	4	2	6	-6	14
14	Sociedad	13	3	3	7	-4	12
15	Sp Gijon	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Granada	13	2	5	6	-7	11
17	Getafe	12	3	2	7	-7	11
18	Malaga	13	2	4	7	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	13	2	4	7	-9	10
20	Levante	13	2	4	7	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+17	21
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
6	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Sevilla	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+5	10
10	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
12	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+4	9
13	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
14	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Las Palmas	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Levante	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Granada	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Betis	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	7	4	2	1	+0	14
2	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Celta	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Barcelona	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	La Coruna	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+8	11
7	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	Sociedad	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
13	Espanol	7	2	0	5	-7	6
14	Ath Bilbao	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.