La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |
Celta
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Eibar
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |
La Coruna
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 |
Espanol
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 |
Sevilla
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sp Gijon
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |
Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |
Sociedad
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Malaga
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 |
Granada
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Pedro Bigas
D
G. Rulli
G
Yuri
D
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Villarreal
Getafe
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Eibar
Barcelona
Las Palmas
Carlos Velasco Carballo · 18 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.