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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Valencia
T S T S T
3–0
Full-time
Levante
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 9. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 Barcelona 9 7 0 2 +8 21
3 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
4 Celta 9 5 3 1 +7 18
5 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 +6 17
6 La Coruna 10 3 5 2 +3 14
7 Eibar 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Sevilla 9 3 3 3 +1 12
9 Valencia 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Betis 9 3 3 3 -4 12
11 Espanol 9 4 0 5 -10 12
12 Ath Bilbao 9 3 2 4 +1 11
13 Getafe 9 3 1 5 -3 10
14 Vallecano 9 3 1 5 -6 10
15 Sociedad 9 2 3 4 +1 9
16 Malaga 9 2 3 4 -2 9
17 Sp Gijon 9 2 3 4 -4 9
18 Granada 9 1 3 5 -8 6
19 Las Palmas 10 1 3 6 -9 6
20 Levante 9 1 3 5 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Levante
Enzo Pérez 🟨
28′
36′
🟨 Rubén García
Half-time 0–0
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ P. Piatti
46′
62′
🟨 Rubén Martínez
1–0 Paco Alcácer
64′
André Gomes 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Roger
Dani Parejo 🔁
↦ E. Pérez
69′
71′
🔁 Víctor Casadesús
↦ Rubén García
71′
🔁 N. Ghilas
↦ Roger Martí
2–0 S. Feghouli
Paco Alcácer
72′
3–0 Z. Bakkali
João Cancelo
80′
Barragán 🔁
↦ João Cancelo
81′
81′
🔁 Xumetra
↦ Víctor Camarasa
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valencia

24 Jaume Doménech G
4 Aderllan Santos D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
15 E. Pérez M
18 Javi Fuego M
8 S. Feghouli M
21 André Gomes M
11 P. Piatti M
9 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (7)
16 Z. Bakkali
10 Dani Parejo
19 Barragán
6 L. Orbán
12 Danilo Barbosa
13 Yoel
22 Santi Mina

Levante

13 Rubén G
4 David Navarro
12 Juanfran D
19 Pedro López D
3 Toño M
5 Simão Junior
10 Rubén García M
11 José Luis Morales M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
8 J. Lerma M
14 Roger Martí F
Bench (7)
18 Víctor Casadesús
23 N. Ghilas
17 Xumetra
7 Verza
15 N. Karabelas
22 José Mari
25 Diego Mariño

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.