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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Cortus
Werder Bremen
U T U T T
4–0
Full-time
Hannover
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
0%
45%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
27%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 17. · Hannover 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 2 1 +22 29
2 Schalke 04 12 7 2 3 +6 23
3 RB Leipzig 12 7 2 3 +5 23
4 M'gladbach 12 6 3 3 +0 21
5 Dortmund 12 6 2 4 +13 20
6 Hoffenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +4 18
9 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 +7 17
10 Augsburg 12 4 4 4 +2 16
11 Stuttgart 12 5 1 6 -3 16
12 Mainz 12 4 3 5 -4 15
13 Wolfsburg 12 2 8 2 -1 14
14 Hertha 12 3 5 4 -3 14
15 Hamburg 12 3 1 8 -10 10
16 Freiburg 12 1 5 6 -17 8
17 Werder Bremen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
18 FC Koln 12 0 2 10 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Hannover
1–0 F. Bartels
M. Kruse
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Kruse
P. Bargfrede
55′
58′
🔁 I. Bebou
↦ S. Maier
3–0 M. Kruse
F. Bartels
59′
J. Gondorf 🔁
↦ P. Bargfrede
71′
74′
🔁 M. Schmiedebach
↦ M. Harnik
74′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ Jonathas
4–0 M. Kruse
F. Bartels
78′
81′
🟨 Florian Hübner
I. Belfodil 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzović
82′
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
6 T. Delaney M
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
8 J. Gondorf
29 I. Belfodil
7 F. Kainz
3 L. Caldirola
4 R. Bauer
26 L. Sané
33 J. Drobný

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Hannover

4-3-1-2
23 M. Esser G
3 Miiko Albornoz D
19 F. Hübner D
25 O. Sorg D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
20 S. Sané D
10 S. Maier M
14 M. Harnik F
9 Jonathas F
Bench (7)
13 I. Bebou
8 M. Schmiedebach
24 N. Füllkrug
15 T. Hübers
22 M. Ostrzolek
26 K. Karaman
30 S. Radlinger

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benjamin Cortus · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.