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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Gent
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 12/17 matches
Win Ø 37%
50%
24%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
42%
65%
Both score Ø 54%
42%
65%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 7. · Kortrijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 10 1 1 +18 31
2 Anderlecht 12 9 2 1 +12 29
3 Antwerp 18 7 7 4 +3 28
4 St Truiden 17 7 5 5 -2 26
5 Charleroi 12 7 4 1 +9 25
6 Beveren 18 7 3 8 +3 24
7 Gent 12 6 2 4 +9 20
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 5 5 8 -7 20
9 Oostende 18 5 4 9 -2 19
10 Waregem 17 6 1 10 -3 19
11 Mechelen 18 4 6 8 -7 18
12 Standard 12 4 5 3 +0 17
13 Lokeren 17 4 5 8 -8 17
14 Kortrijk 17 4 5 8 -9 17
15 Genk 12 3 7 2 +2 16
16 Eupen 18 2 6 10 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
7′
T. Chevalier 0–1
I. Ouali
1–1 R. Yaremchuk
S. Gigot
10′
2–1 Y. Kubo
R. Yaremchuk
27′
Half-time 2–1
53′
🟨 Evgen Makarenko
K. Saief 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
69′
69′
🔁 S. De Smet
↦ I. Ouali
N. Dussenne 🔁
↦ S. Mitrović
70′
81′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ J. Perbet
T. Foket 🔁
↦ M. Simon
85′
Brecht Dejaegere 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
22 D. Bronn D
19 B. Dejaegere F
6 B. Verstraete M
31 Y. Kubo F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
27 M. Simon F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (8)
15 K. Saief
5 N. Dussenne
32 T. Foket
9 M. Sylla
11 D. Machado
20 Y. Thoelen
38 S. Horemans
77 D. Miličević

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 T. Kaminski G
5 V. Kovačević D
3 E. Makarenko D
6 L. Rougeaux D
2 B. Kumordzi M
8 A. Ajagun F
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
43 J. Perbet F
27 I. Ouali M
9 T. Chevalier F
Bench (7)
7 S. De Smet
11 J. Stojanović
1 S. Bruzzese
4 G. Kagelmacher
18 P. Budkivskyi
20 L. Azouni
31 A. Van Loo

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.