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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Hamburg
T S T S U
0–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 15. · Wolfsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 10 2 2 +23 32
2 RB Leipzig 14 8 2 4 +3 26
3 Schalke 04 14 7 4 3 +6 25
4 Leverkusen 15 6 6 3 +10 24
5 M'gladbach 14 7 3 4 -2 24
6 Hoffenheim 14 6 5 3 +7 23
7 Dortmund 14 6 4 4 +13 22
8 Augsburg 14 6 4 4 +5 22
9 Ein Frankfurt 14 6 4 4 +2 22
10 Hannover 14 5 4 5 -2 19
11 Wolfsburg 14 3 8 3 +1 17
12 Hertha 14 4 5 5 -2 17
13 Stuttgart 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Mainz 14 4 3 7 -7 15
15 Hamburg 14 4 2 8 -7 14
16 Freiburg 14 2 6 6 -16 12
17 Werder Bremen 14 2 5 7 -7 11
18 FC Koln 14 0 3 11 -21 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Wolfsburg
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 P. Ntep
↦ D. Origi
59′
🟨 Paul-Georges Ntep
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ T. Ito
60′
Dennis Diekmeier 🟨
61′
Filip Kostić 🟨
71′
77′
🟨 William
A. Ekdal 🔁
↦ Walace
78′
78′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ Y. Mallı
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ J. Arp
83′
91′
🔁 V. Osimhen
↦ D. Didavi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
5 M. Mavraj D
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
17 F. Kostić M
12 Walace M
43 T. Ito M
40 J. Arp F
Bench (7)
15 L. Waldschmidt
20 A. Ekdal
11 A. Hahn
4 R. van Drongelen
13 J. Pollersbeck
19 S. Schipplock
24 G. Sakai

Coach: M. Gisdol

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
25 J. Brooks D
17 F. Uduokhai D
2 William D
11 D. Didavi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
33 M. Gómez F
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
7 P. Ntep
13 Y. Gerhardt
18 V. Osimhen
5 J. Bruma
9 L. Dimata
20 M. Grün
31 R. Knoche

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.