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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
Werder Bremen
U U U T U
0–3
Full-time
Augsburg
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
11%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
1,3
2,4
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 17. · Augsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 +17 23
2 Dortmund 10 6 2 2 +16 20
3 RB Leipzig 10 6 1 3 +4 19
4 Hannover 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Schalke 04 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 M'gladbach 10 5 2 3 -2 17
7 Hoffenheim 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Leverkusen 10 4 3 3 +7 15
9 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Hertha 10 3 4 3 -1 13
11 Augsburg 9 3 3 3 +2 12
12 Mainz 10 3 2 5 -5 11
13 Wolfsburg 10 1 7 2 -3 10
14 Stuttgart 9 3 1 5 -5 10
15 Freiburg 9 1 5 3 -11 8
16 Hamburg 10 2 1 7 -10 7
17 Werder Bremen 9 0 5 4 -6 5
18 FC Koln 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Augsburg
40′
M. Gregoritsch 0–1
P. Max
Half-time 0–1
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ M. Eggestein
46′
I. Hajrović 🔁
↦ R. Bauer
46′
47′
A. Finnbogason 0–2
Thomas Delaney 🟨
48′
61′
M. Gregoritsch 0–3
Caiuby
74′
🔁 Koo Ja-Cheol
↦ A. Finnbogason
Florian Kainz 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 J. Schmid
↦ M. Heller
87′
🔁 Ji Dong-Won
↦ M. Gregoritsch
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
5 L. Augustinsson D
4 R. Bauer D
16 Z. Junuzović M
6 T. Delaney M
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
29 I. Belfodil F
Bench (7)
7 F. Kainz
15 I. Hajrović
13 M. Veljkovic
20 U. Garcia
22 F. Bartels
30 M. Zetterer
44 P. Bargfrede

Coach: A. Nouri

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
4 D. Opare D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
38 K. Danso D
7 M. Heller M
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
8 R. Khedira M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
19 Koo Ja-Cheol
17 J. Schmid
22 Ji Dong-Won
1 A. Luthe
18 J. Callsen-Bracker
20 G. Kačar
26 E. Thommy

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.