Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Norwich
Sheffield Weds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wolves
|
21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +24 | 48 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
|
20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 43 |
| 3 |
Bristol City
|
21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | +12 | 40 |
| 4 |
Derby
|
20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |
Sheffield United
|
21 | 12 | 1 | 8 | +8 | 37 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 33 |
| 7 |
Leeds
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 |
Ipswich
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Preston
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 32 |
| 10 |
Middlesbrough
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 31 |
| 11 |
Nott'm Forest
|
21 | 10 | 0 | 11 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 |
Fulham
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 28 |
| 13 |
Brentford
|
21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 27 |
| 14 |
Sheffield Weds
|
20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 15 |
Reading
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 26 |
| 16 |
Norwich
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 |
Millwall
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 18 |
Hull
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 22 |
| 19 |
QPR
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 |
Barnsley
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 20 |
| 21 |
Bolton
|
21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -19 | 16 |
| 22 |
Birmingham
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -20 | 16 |
| 23 |
Sunderland
|
21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -12 | 15 |
| 24 |
Burton Albion
|
21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -27 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cardiff
Norwich
Norwich
Preston
Nott'm Forest
Norwich
Norwich
Barnsley
Bolton
Norwich
James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.