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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
West Ham
T T U T T
1–0
Full-time
Chelsea
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,5
This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
13%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
2,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 19. · Chelsea 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 15 14 1 0 +36 43
2 Man United 15 11 2 2 +26 35
3 Chelsea 15 10 2 3 +16 32
4 Liverpool 15 8 5 2 +14 29
5 Arsenal 15 9 1 5 +10 28
6 Tottenham 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Burnley 15 7 4 4 +2 25
8 Watford 15 6 4 5 -1 22
9 Leicester 15 5 5 5 +0 20
10 Everton 15 5 3 7 -9 18
11 Southampton 15 4 5 6 -3 17
12 Brighton 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Stoke 15 4 4 7 -12 16
14 Bournemouth 15 4 3 8 -4 15
15 Newcastle 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Huddersfield 15 4 3 8 -17 15
17 West Brom 15 2 7 6 -9 13
18 Crystal Palace 15 2 4 9 -17 10
19 West Ham 15 2 4 9 -19 10
20 Swansea 15 2 3 10 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.