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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
Barnsley
U T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Derby
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Championship · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 39%
25%
53%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 19. · Derby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 20 15 2 3 +24 47
2 Cardiff 20 13 4 3 +16 43
3 Bristol City 21 11 7 3 +12 40
4 Sheffield United 21 12 1 8 +8 37
5 Derby 19 10 4 5 +9 34
6 Aston Villa 18 9 5 4 +10 32
7 Ipswich 20 10 2 8 +5 32
8 Leeds 20 9 3 8 +5 30
9 Preston 20 7 8 5 +2 29
10 Middlesbrough 19 8 4 7 +5 28
11 Brentford 20 6 9 5 +4 27
12 Sheffield Weds 20 6 9 5 +2 27
13 Nott'm Forest 20 9 0 11 -5 27
14 Reading 20 7 5 8 +2 26
15 Fulham 18 6 7 5 +0 25
16 Norwich 20 6 6 8 -8 24
17 Millwall 20 5 7 8 +1 22
18 QPR 20 5 7 8 -7 22
19 Barnsley 20 5 5 10 -7 20
20 Hull 20 4 7 9 -3 19
21 Bolton 20 3 7 10 -18 16
22 Birmingham 20 4 4 12 -19 16
23 Sunderland 20 2 8 10 -12 14
24 Burton Albion 20 3 5 12 -26 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Derby
39′
T. Lawrence 0–1
44′
M. Vydra 0–2
A. Weimann
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 J. Russell
↦ T. Lawrence
A. Hammill 🔁
↦ B. Potts
60′
G. Moncur 🔁
↦ G. Gardner
60′
63′
🟨 Andreas Weimann
I. Ugbo 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
72′
72′
🔁 B. Johnson
↦ M. Vydra
78′
A. Weimann 0–3
B. Johnson
80′
🔁 S. Winnall
↦ C. Martin
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-4-2
1 A. Davies G
24 M. Pearson D
6 L. Lindsay D
2 J. McCarthy D
22 G. Gardner M
17 A. Yiadom D
20 B. Potts M
4 J. Williams M
15 H. Barnes F
9 T. Bradshaw F
26 M. Thiam F
Bench (7)
7 A. Hammill
10 G. Moncur
19 I. Ugbo
3 Z. Fryers
8 C. McGeehan
13 N. Townsend
14 S. Mallan

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Derby

4-2-3-1
1 S. Carson G
33 C. Davies D
12 C. Baird D
6 R. Keogh D
3 C. Forsyth D
44 T. Huddlestone M
36 J. Ledley M
10 T. Lawrence M
9 C. Martin F
23 M. Vydra M
19 A. Weimann M
Bench (7)
7 J. Russell
15 B. Johnson
17 S. Winnall
14 A. Wisdom
28 D. Nugent
34 G. Thorne
35 J. Mitchell

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.