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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Welz

Werder Bremen

T T T T S

1–3

Full-time

Dortmund

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

30%

70%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,5

4,1

Scored

1,0

2,9

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

26% Possession 74%

8 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 9

2 Offside 7

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 14. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	10	1	0	+29	31
2	Dortmund	10	7	2	1	+17	23
3	Schalke 04	10	6	1	3	+1	19
4	Wolfsburg	10	5	3	2	+3	18
5	Hertha	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Leverkusen	10	5	2	3	+0	17
7	M'gladbach	10	5	0	5	+2	15
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	4	2	4	-2	14
9	FC Koln	10	4	2	4	-4	14
10	Hamburg	10	4	2	4	-4	14
11	Ein Frankfurt	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Darmstadt	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Mainz	10	4	0	6	-3	12
14	Werder Bremen	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Hannover	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Stuttgart	10	2	1	7	-8	7
17	Hoffenheim	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Augsburg	10	1	2	7	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Wolfsburg	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Hertha	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Hamburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Augsburg	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Hannover	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Stuttgart	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Werder Bremen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Hoffenheim	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Hamburg	6	3	0	3	-4	9
6	Darmstadt	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Leverkusen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Hertha	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	M'gladbach	5	2	0	3	+0	6
12	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	FC Koln	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Hannover	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-5	5
16	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Hoffenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.