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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Hamburg

T T T U T

0–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

0,3

2,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

25%

63%

Points per game

0,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 32%

25%

38%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,6

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

24% Possession 76%

6 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 15. · Bayern Munich 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	9	6	2	1	+18	20
2	RB Leipzig	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	Bayern Munich	8	5	2	1	+14	17
4	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Hannover	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	M'gladbach	9	4	2	3	-4	14
9	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+6	12
10	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Mainz	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	1	5	2	-3	8
15	Hamburg	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Freiburg	8	1	4	3	-11	7
17	Werder Bremen	8	0	4	4	-6	4
18	FC Koln	8	0	1	7	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Stuttgart	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
7	Mainz	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+7	8
10	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Freiburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
14	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Wolfsburg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	1	3	-12	1
18	Stuttgart	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.