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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Millwall

S U S T T

2–0

Full-time

Birmingham

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Championship · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

42%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Millwall 17. · Birmingham 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	13	9	2	2	+11	29
2	Cardiff	13	8	3	2	+8	27
3	Sheffield United	13	9	0	4	+7	27
4	Leeds	13	7	2	4	+9	23
5	Bristol City	13	5	6	2	+6	21
6	Preston	13	5	6	2	+6	21
7	Derby	12	5	4	3	+4	19
8	Norwich	12	5	4	3	-2	19
9	Aston Villa	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Fulham	12	4	6	2	+4	18
11	Ipswich	11	6	0	5	+3	18
12	Nott'm Forest	13	6	0	7	-4	18
13	Hull	13	4	4	5	+4	16
14	Middlesbrough	12	4	4	4	+3	16
15	Sheffield Weds	13	4	4	5	+0	16
16	QPR	13	3	6	4	-1	15
17	Millwall	12	3	4	5	+0	13
18	Brentford	13	2	7	4	-1	13
19	Barnsley	12	3	3	6	-3	12
20	Reading	12	3	3	6	-3	12
21	Birmingham	12	3	2	7	-11	11
22	Burton Albion	13	2	4	7	-19	10
23	Sunderland	13	1	6	6	-9	9
24	Bolton	13	1	3	9	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	7	6	0	1	+7	18
2	Wolves	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Cardiff	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Derby	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Preston	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Ipswich	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Nott'm Forest	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Leeds	6	3	2	1	+7	11
10	Sheffield Weds	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Aston Villa	5	3	2	0	+4	11
12	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Middlesbrough	7	3	2	2	+2	11
14	Hull	6	3	1	2	+10	10
15	Millwall	6	3	1	2	+3	10
16	Birmingham	6	3	1	2	-1	10
17	Norwich	6	2	3	1	+1	9
18	Brentford	7	1	5	1	+0	8
19	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Fulham	6	1	4	1	+0	7
21	Burton Albion	6	2	1	3	-7	7
22	Reading	5	1	2	2	-1	5
23	Bolton	7	1	1	5	-8	4
24	Sunderland	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Cardiff	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Leeds	7	4	0	3	+2	12
4	Fulham	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Norwich	6	3	1	2	-3	10
6	Bristol City	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Preston	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Sheffield United	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Aston Villa	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	Reading	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Sunderland	7	1	4	2	-4	7
12	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	-1	6
13	Nott'm Forest	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Derby	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Hull	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	+1	5
17	Brentford	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Sheffield Weds	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Barnsley	5	1	1	3	-2	4
20	QPR	7	0	4	3	-4	4
21	Millwall	6	0	3	3	-3	3
22	Burton Albion	7	0	3	4	-12	3
23	Bolton	6	0	2	4	-9	2
24	Birmingham	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.