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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

M'gladbach

U S T S S

1–5

Full-time

Leverkusen

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

50%

88%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

9 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 6. · Leverkusen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	8	6	1	1	+18	19
2	Bayern Munich	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	RB Leipzig	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+0	14
7	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Augsburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Hannover	8	3	3	2	+2	12
10	Stuttgart	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Mainz	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Leverkusen	8	2	3	3	+2	9
13	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	1	5	2	-3	8
15	Hamburg	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Freiburg	8	1	4	3	-11	7
17	Werder Bremen	8	0	4	4	-6	4
18	FC Koln	8	0	1	7	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Stuttgart	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
6	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Mainz	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+7	8
9	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+4	7
11	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Freiburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
14	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Wolfsburg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Hannover	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Werder Bremen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Leverkusen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	1	3	-12	1
18	Stuttgart	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.