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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
St Truiden
U S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Oostende
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
50%
10%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
30%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 25
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 4. · Oostende 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 18
2 Antwerp 10 5 3 2 +4 18
3 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 5 3 3 +0 18
4 St Truiden 10 5 2 3 +0 17
5 Waregem 10 5 1 4 +6 16
6 Charleroi 7 4 3 0 +6 15
7 Anderlecht 7 4 2 1 +3 14
8 Beveren 10 3 3 4 +5 12
9 Lokeren 11 3 3 5 -3 12
10 Standard 7 3 2 2 +0 11
11 Genk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
12 Kortrijk 10 2 3 5 -6 9
13 Mechelen 10 1 5 4 -3 8
14 Gent 7 2 1 4 +0 7
15 Eupen 10 1 3 6 -15 6
16 Oostende 10 1 2 7 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Oostende
Steven De Petter 🟨
33′
38′
🟨 Aleksandar Bjelica
Half-time 0–0
J. Legear 🔁
↦ A. De Sart
46′
69′
🟨 Žarko Tomašević
77′
🔁 H. Özkan
↦ K. Vandendriessche
E. Acolatse 🔁
↦ J. Botaka
80′
83′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ Z. Gano
87′
🟨 Sébastien Siani
1–0 J. Legear
89′
90′
🟨 Andile Jali
91′
🔁 Fernando Canesin
↦ A. Bjelica
F. Antunes 🔁
↦ Y. Boli
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-4-2
21 L. Pirard G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 D. Dussaut D
28 D. Goutas D
6 S. De Petter M
8 H. Harisis M
24 C. De Norre D
5 A. De Sart M
11 Y. Boli F
7 J. Botaka F
12 S. Asamoah M
Bench (7)
27 J. Legear
29 E. Acolatse
18 F. Antunes
1 K. Steppe
15 S. Kitsiou
30 S. Bourard
22 Sergio Ayala

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Oostende

4-4-2
21 M. Vanhamel G
6 N. Lombaerts D
27 B. Capon D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
44 A. Milić D
16 A. Bjelica D
7 S. Siani M
15 A. Jali M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
11 K. Musona F
93 Z. Gano F
Bench (7)
36 H. Özkan
17 J. Akpala
55 Fernando Canesin
18 D. Rozehnal
24 R. Rezaeian
28 W. Dutoît
66 I. Conté

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.