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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
Hamburg
S T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 28
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 15. · Werder Bremen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 7 6 1 0 +19 19
2 Hoffenheim 6 4 2 0 +6 14
3 Bayern Munich 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Hannover 7 3 3 1 +3 12
5 Augsburg 7 3 2 2 +3 11
6 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 -2 11
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Schalke 04 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Leverkusen 7 2 2 3 +2 8
11 Hertha 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Wolfsburg 7 1 4 2 -3 7
13 Mainz 7 2 1 4 -4 7
14 Stuttgart 7 2 1 4 -5 7
15 Hamburg 6 2 0 4 -7 6
16 Freiburg 6 0 4 2 -7 4
17 Werder Bremen 6 0 3 3 -4 3
18 FC Koln 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Werder Bremen
33′
🟨 Robert Bauer
Half-time 0–0
L. Holtby 🔁
↦ T. Ito
53′
63′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ F. Kainz
63′
🔁 M. Eggestein
↦ P. Bargfrede
Kyriakos Papadopoulos 🟨
68′
Walace 🔁
↦ A. Ekdal
74′
83′
🟨 Theodor Gebre Selassie
J. Arp 🔁
↦ B. Wood
89′
90′
🟨 Michael Zetterer
90′
🔁 I. Hajrović
↦ F. Bartels
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
24 G. Sakai D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
20 A. Ekdal M
43 T. Ito M
16 V. Janjičić M
11 A. Hahn F
7 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
8 L. Holtby
12 Walace
40 J. Arp
5 M. Mavraj
6 Douglas Santos
13 J. Pollersbeck
23 S. Salihović

Coach: M. Gisdol

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
4 R. Bauer D
20 U. Garcia D
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
6 T. Delaney M
7 F. Kainz F
13 M. Veljkovic D
29 I. Belfodil F
Bench (7)
16 Z. Junuzović
35 M. Eggestein
15 I. Hajrović
3 L. Caldirola
8 J. Gondorf
24 J. Eggestein
30 M. Zetterer

Coach: A. Nouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.