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Bundesliga

Referee: Patrick Ittrich

Dortmund

U S S S U

5–0

Full-time

FC Koln

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

0,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%

22 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 5. · FC Koln 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Hoffenheim	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	RB Leipzig	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Hertha	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Wolfsburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Freiburg	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Schalke 04	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Wolfsburg	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.