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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Chelsea

S T S S S

0–0

Full-time

Arsenal

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 3. · Arsenal 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	4	1	0	+14	13
2	Man United	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Newcastle	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Huddersfield	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Burnley	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Liverpool	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	West Brom	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	Watford	5	2	2	1	-2	8
12	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Swansea	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Leicester	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Everton	4	1	1	2	-4	4
18	West Ham	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Bournemouth	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Crystal Palace	5	0	0	5	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Newcastle	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	West Brom	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Huddersfield	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
8	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Southampton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Everton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Watford	3	0	2	1	-6	2
19	Swansea	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Crystal Palace	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Swansea	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Burnley	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Brighton	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Liverpool	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	West Ham	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.