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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Las Palmas

T T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,7

1,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 16. · Ath Bilbao 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Villarreal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Levante	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Leganes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+3	5
13	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Girona	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	La Coruna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Levante	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Girona	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
5	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Eibar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Betis	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.